Article: U.S. likely to establish military base in India to launch operations in Afghanistan

The
U.S. may invoke the 2016 Logistics Exchange Memorandum of Agreement (LEMOA), to build a military base in India, for use as a staging area
for beyond-the-horizon surveillance and launching attacks on terrorists in and
around Afghanistan, according to Indian Major General S. G. Vombatkere.

In
an article published by the Counter Current Monday, General Vombatkere pointed
out that the idea of a staging area in India for over-the-horizon US forces was articulated
during a US Congressional hearing by Republican Mark Green asking Secretary of
State Antony Blinken: “Considering
rumors of ISI’s support for the Taliban, have you guys reached out to India as
a possible staging area for the over-the-horizon forces? I’m talking about
northwest India as a potential because we all know Qatar and Doha, the other
places, are just a little bit too far ” Kuwait, all of that. What about
northwest India? And have you reached out have you thought about that?”.

The
so called “over-the-horizon” capability means maintaining the ability
to deter or destroy would-be terrorist plotters from far longer range.

Blinken
responded that he would “rather
take that up in a different setting”, and that the US Administration
is “deeply engaged” with
New Delhi.

“Generally,
Congressman, we”re deeply engaged with India across the board. With regard,
though, to any specifics about over the rise in capabilities and the plans that
we put in place and will continue to put in place, I”d rather take that up in
a different setting,” Secretary of State Antony Blinken said.

The
matter-of-fact nature of Green’s question indicates that US Congressmen assume
that India, being USA’s subordinate strategic partner and signatory to Logistics
Exchange Memorandum of Agreement (LEMOA) and Communications Compatibility and
Security Agreement (COMCASA) cannot refuse USA’s request for a military base, General
Vombatkere said adding:

The
U.S. establishing a military base in India will simultaneously save face,
maintain its regional hegemony, and declare its strategic superiority. What
better place is there in “northwest India” other than Kashmir or Ladakh for US
military operations in Afghanistan?

It
may obliquely even suit the politics of the Indian establishment to divert
attention from domestic matters. Obviously, General Vombatkere was referring to
current rising sentiments against the extreme rightist government of Prime
Minister Narendra Modi because of failed economic policies and other factors.

Strategic consequences

Troops
and military hardware located in a US military base are an attractive target
for politically insane Islamists. Pakistan, Taliban, or a non-state entity like
ISIS or Al Qaeda, deliberately or mistakenly attacking a US base on Indian
territory, would constitute an attack on USA, and lead to armed conflict if not
war, centered in India, General Vombatkere pointed out adding:

With
LEMOA and CISMOA signed, and BECA (Basic Exchange and Cooperation Agreement for
Geospatial Cooperation), all but signed, USA would expect US-India joint
military operations launched from Indian soil, against the attacker. The world
is witness to US president George Bush initiating military action in Iraq,
based upon unsubstantiated accusations of WMD. An attack on a US military base
would certainly draw retaliation against the attacker.

Further,
the recent formation of AUKUS has caused China no little disquiet. India
already being a member of USA-Australia-Japan-India QUAD, China is wary of
India becoming the “sixth eye” of the western powers existing
Five Eyes (USA, UK, Canada, Australia and New Zealand). With PM Modi joining a
QUAD summit meeting in Washington on 24 September, and meeting with US
president Biden separately, Afghanistan will be in sharp focus.

In
this emerging scenario, USA seeking a military base in India is certain. Some
may opine that the foregoing is an unlikely scenario, but strategic good sense
dictates that India must think-through the consequences of acceding to a US
military base in India, General Vombatkere argued and added:

‘India’s
subordinate status in its strategic partnership with USA is the sad reality.
However, from being USA’s subordinate strategic partner, allowing a US military
base will lower India’s status to that of USA’s vassal state. Allowing a US
military base on Indian territory could well be the final nail in the coffin of
India’s political sovereignty.

“In
the context of USA’s request for a military base in India, it is worth
emulating PM Vajpayee. In July 2003, US president George Bush requested India
to send 17,000 Indian troops to assist US troops in Iraq. Although some of his
cabinet colleagues were in favor of sending Indian troops, political and public opinion was
intensely hostile to the proposal. PM Vajpayee refused the US
request, insisting that the decision must be based on national consensus, thus
showing his commendable respect for the people and the principles of democracy.

“A
US base established in India may send a message of India’s strategic
subordination to USA, and its political and military helplessness to the world.
It will certainly compromise India’s aspiration to a permanent seat in UNSC,
and India’s ambition to be recognized as a leading regional power.”

Next Page  1  |  2

(Note: You can view every article as one long page if you sign up as an Advocate Member, or higher).

Abdus-Sattar Ghazali Social Media Pages:
     
     
     

Author and journalist.
Author of
Islamic Pakistan: Illusions & Reality;
Islam in the Post-Cold War Era;
Islam & Modernism;
Islam & Muslims in the Post-9/11 America.
Currently working as free lance journalist.
Executive Editor of American (more…)